33 The secret of effective budget preparation is to use a little effort as possible.
If this your first attempt at budget preparation, don't get yourself involved in being too precise. Concentrate on reasonableness and general ideas. Complex budget preparation can come at a later date.
Step 1 - Sales Forecast
Ideally, you should confer with customers, sales managers and/or representatives.
Here are two methods to help you predict the year's sales.
Alternative 1: Take the previous year's sales dollar volume and add to it the current year's expected price increases and anticipated volume increases. This may be referred to as a reasonable guess.
Alternative 2: A more precise method to compute sales dollar volume is to begin with units of product to be sold during the year, then convert units sold to a dollar value.
Step 2 - Sales: Month-by-Month Analysis
Once you have determined the dollar amount to be used for your expected sales, you must then project how the sales will be produced on a month-by-month basis.
Alternative 1: Predict each month's sales and use the results.
Alternative 2: Assume that the relationship of each month's sales to the year's total sales will be the same each year.
Review the prior year or past years' sales, month-by-month, to determine the relationship of each month's sales in your budget to the annual sales.
Step 3 - Cost of Goods Sold:..how much will you pay for what you sell.
Alternative 1: The Percentage Method
Therefore, if you have a variance between the actual percent of cost of goods sold compared to the estimated percent used in the budget, pinpointing the reason for the variance can be quite difficult.
Only when the actual is computed can meaningful comparisons between actual and budgeted cost of goods sold take place.
Alternative 2: For a more precise method of determining your cost of goods sold budget, begin with the number of units of a particular product that you anticipate selling and price the units to be sold.
Step 4 Estimate Expenses.